Research

My research lies at the intersection of health economics, regional and urban economics, and public policy. I examine how economic inequalities, health disparities, access to care, and policies play out across urban and rural contexts. I am especially interested in the heterogeneous effects of public programs and the administrative barriers that disproportionately impact different groups, including rural communities and those facing heightened challenges from the digital divide and automation. In all my research, I emphasize how place and policy interact to shape program participation, labor market outcomes, and health.

See my Google Scholar profile for a full list of publications and citations.

Publications

  • Assessing the Local Cost of Urban Climate Resilience: An Analysis of the NYC Financial District and Seaport Climate Resilience (FiDi) Master Plan, (2025), with Daniel Centuriao.
    Papers in Regional Science, 104(5), 100110. Link

  • Regional Economic Impacts of COVID-19 Lockdowns and Mitigation Effects of Stimulus Checks and Unemployment Insurance, (2025), with Daniel Centuriao, Amir Ferreira Neto, and Fernando Perobelli.
    Economic Analysis and Policy, 88, 1-12. Link

  • Identification and Analysis of the Evolution of Local Productive Arrangements, (2021), with Daniel Centuriao and Luiz Cypriano.
    Journal of Regional Analysis & Policy, 51(2), 49–66. Link

Other Publications: click to view full list

2021

  1. Welter, C., Paetzhold, T., Centuriao, D. & Schneider, M. (2021). The heterodox stabilization plans: main effects for the Brazilian economy in the period from 1985 to 1989. Brazilian Journal of Development, 7(3), 23014–23036.

  2. Frainer, D., Welter, C. & Centuriao, D. (2021). Comparison between cattle complexes. Agricultural Policy Journal, 30(2), 8.

2020

  1. Centuriao, D., Welter, C. & Abrita, M. (2020). Business challenges and policy suggestions in face of the Covid-19 pandemic. A Economia em Revista-AERE, 28(1), 54–65.

  2. Welter, C., Batista, A., Centuriao, D. & Rippel, R. (2020). Economic growth in Western Parana: an analysis based on regional indicators. Parana Development Journal, 41(138), .

  3. Centuriao, D., Welter, C. & Frainer, D. (2020). Development of the municipalities in Mato Grosso do Sul: an analysis from a synthetic multidimensional indicator. Brazilian Journal of the Environment, 8(4), .

  4. Welter, C. & Centuriao, D. (2020). Economic growth in Mato Grosso do Sul: polarization and heterogeneity. GEOFRONTER, 6, .

  5. Almeida Gabriel, F., Centuriao, D., Welter, C. & Silva, G. (2020). Governance Structures and Transaction Attributes in the Ribas do Rio Pardo (MS) Agroindustrial Forest Complex. REDES. Regional Development Journal, 25(2), 762–781.

Working Papers

  • The Impact of SSA Field Office Closures on Disability Program Participation

  • Ordeal Mechanisms, Treatment Continuation, and Health Outcomes: Evidence from Continuous Glucose Monitoring in Medicaid, with Daniel Grossman and Amanda Gaulke.

  • Epidemic Risk and Preventive Health Behavior: Evidence from Zika Exposure and Childhood Vaccination in Brazil

  • Is Obesity Affected by Urban Sprawl? Evidence from Brazil, with Jane Ruseski.

  • Aggregation Bias and Input-Output Regionalization: Detail or Accuracy?
    Regional Research Institute Working Paper, with Randall Jackson. Link

Work in Progress

  • Telehealth Access and Licensing Reform: Evidence from West Virginia, with Heather Stephens.

  • Measuring the Outdoor Recreation economy at the sub-state level, with Heather Stephens, Daniel Centuriao, and Matthew Fredriksson. (Selected for the AEA-ASSA 2027)

  • Social Capital and Local Economic Recovery: Evidence from the COVID-19 Shock, with Daniel Centuriao and Timothy Zuahng.